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| election_date = October 12, 2025
| election_date = October 12, 2025
| seats_for_election = All 251 seats in the [[Republican National Assembly]]
| seats_for_election = All 251 seats in the [[Republican National Assembly]]
| candidate1 = [[Abu Mohammad al-Julani]]
| candidate1 = [[Tsai Ing-wen]]
| colour1 = 480D67
| colour1 = 1B9431
| party1 = [[Forward Party]]
| party1 = [[Democratic Progressive Party]]
| image1 = File:Ahmed al-Sharaa in July 2025 (cropped).jpg
| image1 = File:蔡英文官方元首肖像照.png
| last_election1 = 30.47%, 82 seats
| last_election1 = 22.06%, 62 seats
| seats1 =  
| seats1 = 10
| seat_change1 =  
| seat_change1 =  
| percentage1 =  
| percentage1 = 36.71%
| swing1 =  
| swing1 =  
| candidate2 = [[Tsai Ing-wen]]
| seats_before1 = 61
| colour2 = 1B9431
| alliance1 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| party2 = [[Democratic Progressive Party]]
| candidate2 = [[Abu Mohammad al-Julani]]
| image2 = File:蔡英文官方元首肖像照.png
| colour2 = 480D67
| last_election2 = 22.06%, 62 seats
| party2 = [[Forward Party]]
| seats2 =  
| image2 = File:Ahmed al-Sharaa in July 2025 (cropped).jpg
| last_election2 = 30.47%, 82 seats
| seats_before2 = 82
| seats2 = 5
| seat_change2 =  
| seat_change2 =  
| percentage2 =  
| percentage2 = 19.13%
| swing2 =  
| swing2 =  
| candidate3 = [[Peter Dutton]]
| candidate3 = [[Heidi Reichinnek]]
| colour3 = 000099
| colour3 = C21E56
| party3 = [[Kuomintang]]
| party3 = [[Orchid Party]]
| image3 = File:Peter Dutton-2024.jpg
| image3 = File:Official Portrait of Heidi Reichinnek.png
| last_election3 = 11.42%, 28 seats
| last_election3 = 7.11%, 17 seats
| seats3 =  
| seats3 = 3
| seat_change3 =  
| seat_change3 =  
| percentage3 =  
| percentage3 = 11.56%
| swing3 =  
| swing3 =  
| candidate4 = [[Dominic Fritz]]
| seats_before3 = 17
| colour4 = C3D746
| alliance3 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| party4 = [[Momentum-Unity]]
| candidate7 = [[Dominic Fritz]]
| image4 = File:Dominic Fritz (May 2025).jpg
| colour7 = C3D746
| last_election4 = 9.33%, 23 seats
| party7 = [[Momentum-Unity]]
| seats4 =  
| image7 = File:Dominic Fritz (May 2025).jpg
| seat_change4 =  
| last_election7 = 9.33%, 23 seats
| percentage4 =  
| seats7 = 1
| swing4 =  
| seat_change7 =  
| candidate5 = [[Gavin Newsom]]
| percentage7 = 5.93%
| colour5 = 768135
| swing7 =  
| party5 = [[Momentum-Free Republic]]
| seats_before7 = 21
| image5 = File:Newsom April 2024 (3x4 cropped b).jpg
| candidate6 = [[Gavin Newsom]]
| last_election5 = 8.12%, 21 seats
| colour6 = 768135
| seats5 =  
| party6 = [[Momentum-Free Republic]]
| image6 = File:Newsom April 2024 (3x4 cropped b).jpg
| last_election6 = 8.12%, 21 seats
| seats6 = 1
| seat_change6 =
| percentage6 = 6.35%
| swing6 =
| seats_before6 = 23
| alliance6 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| candidate5 = [[Albert Speer]]
| colour5 = 964B00
| party5 = [[Alternative for Germany]]
| image5 = File:Bundesarchiv Bild 146II-277, Albert Speer.jpg
| last_election5 = 4.54%, 9 seats
| seats5 = 1
| seat_change5 =  
| seat_change5 =  
| percentage5 =  
| percentage5 = 7.18%
| swing5 =  
| swing5 =  
| candidate6 = [[Heidi Reichinnek]]
| seats_before5 = 9
| colour6 = C21E56
| alliance5 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| party6 = [[Orchid Party]]
| candidate8 = [[Hunter Biden]]
| image6 = File:Official Portrait of Heidi Reichinnek.png
| colour8 = 56277E
| last_election6 = 7.11%, 17 seats
| party8 = [[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
| seats6 =
| image8 = File:Hunter Biden September 30, 2014.jpg
| seat_change6 =
| last_election8 = 2.63%, 1 seat
| percentage6 =
| seats8 = 0
| swing6 =
| candidate7 = [[Albert Speer]]
| colour7 = 964B00
| party7 = [[Alternative for Germany]]
| image7 = File:Bundesarchiv Bild 146II-277, Albert Speer.jpg
| last_election7 = 4.54%, 9 seats
| seats7 =
| seat_change7 =
| percentage7 =
| swing7 =
| candidate8 = [[Nigel Farage]]
| colour8 = 12B6CF
| party8 = [[Reform Party]]
| image8 = File:Pogday.jpg
| last_election8 = 4.32%, 8 seats
| seats8 =  
| seat_change8 =  
| seat_change8 =  
| percentage8 =  
| percentage8 = 4.79%
| swing8 =  
| swing8 =  
| candidate9 = [[Hunter Biden]]
| seats_before8 = 2
| colour9 = 56277E
| alliance8 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| party9 = [[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
| candidate4 = [[Peter Dutton]]
| image9 = File:Hunter Biden September 30, 2014.jpg
| colour4 = 000099
| last_election9 = 2.63%, 1 seat
| party4 = [[Kuomintang]]
| seats9 =  
| image4 = File:Peter Dutton-2024.jpg
| last_election4 = 11.42%, 28 seats
| seats4 = 2
| seat_change4 =
| percentage4 = 0.00%
| swing4 =
| seats_before4 = 28
| candidate9 = [[Nigel Farage]]
| colour9 = 12B6CF
| party9 = [[Reform Party]]
| image9 = File:Pogday.jpg
| last_election9 = 4.32%, 8 seats
| seats9 = 0
| seat_change9 =  
| seat_change9 =  
| percentage9 =  
| percentage9 = 0.00%
| swing9 =  
| swing9 =  
| seats_before9 = 8
| title = [[Cabinet]] before the election
| title = [[Cabinet]] before the election
| before_election = [[Julani Cabinet]]
| before_election = [[Julani Cabinet]]
Line 95: Line 109:
| after_election = ''TBD''
| after_election = ''TBD''
| after_party = ''[[October 2025 general election|TBD]]''
| after_party = ''[[October 2025 general election|TBD]]''
| seats_before1 = 82
| ongoing = no
| seats_before2 = 61
| reporting = 8.00
| alliance2 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| last_update = 23:07
| seats_before3 = 28
| seats_before4 = 21
| seats_before5 = 23
| seats_before6 = 17
| seats_before7 = 9
| seats_before8 = 8
| seats_before9 = 2
| alliance5 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance6 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance7 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance9 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| ongoing = yes
| reporting = 0.00
| last_update = 20:01
| time_zone = EDT
| time_zone = EDT
}}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].<ref>This is probably true</ref>
}}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].<ref>This is probably true</ref>
Line 155: Line 155:
On October 4th, the [[DPP]] announced its manifesto, which called for, among other things, the abolition of the [[Senate]], curtailing the powers of the [[Constitutional Court]], ending "Future Records", and an unconditional amnesty for all those arrested in the July Coup. Around this time, the DPP passed FWD in opinion polling for the first time, and the Anti-Constitution Bloc passed the Pro-Constitution Bloc. FWD would not recover in the polls from that point on. On October 6th, the DPP, [[MO-FR]], [[Orchid Party|OP]], [[AfD]], and [[RPRL]] announced the re-formation of the [[Democratic Coordination Front]]. The inclusion of the AfD led to controversy, with FWD strongly criticizing the opposition for the inclusion of such a radical party. The DCF was essentially a pact, with all parties agreeing not to enter a coalition with FWD, to support the DPP's constitutional reforms, to support the unconditional amnesty, and to condemn authoritarianism. Two days later, the coalition recorded a nearly 20 point lead over the Constitutionalists. On October 8th, [[Joe Rogan]] announced on behalf of the [[KVGW]], which had been operating underground as a result of the ban on their political sector, announced that his party had made a deal with the DPP to endorse the party, and would be joining the DCF. This led to the DPP gaining further in polls as KVGW supporters who previously didn't plan to vote decided to support the DPP.  
On October 4th, the [[DPP]] announced its manifesto, which called for, among other things, the abolition of the [[Senate]], curtailing the powers of the [[Constitutional Court]], ending "Future Records", and an unconditional amnesty for all those arrested in the July Coup. Around this time, the DPP passed FWD in opinion polling for the first time, and the Anti-Constitution Bloc passed the Pro-Constitution Bloc. FWD would not recover in the polls from that point on. On October 6th, the DPP, [[MO-FR]], [[Orchid Party|OP]], [[AfD]], and [[RPRL]] announced the re-formation of the [[Democratic Coordination Front]]. The inclusion of the AfD led to controversy, with FWD strongly criticizing the opposition for the inclusion of such a radical party. The DCF was essentially a pact, with all parties agreeing not to enter a coalition with FWD, to support the DPP's constitutional reforms, to support the unconditional amnesty, and to condemn authoritarianism. Two days later, the coalition recorded a nearly 20 point lead over the Constitutionalists. On October 8th, [[Joe Rogan]] announced on behalf of the [[KVGW]], which had been operating underground as a result of the ban on their political sector, announced that his party had made a deal with the DPP to endorse the party, and would be joining the DCF. This led to the DPP gaining further in polls as KVGW supporters who previously didn't plan to vote decided to support the DPP.  


In the final days of the campaign, it was announced that "local lists" would be allowed to be formed. This means that a joint list would be able to created in only one constituency, or only a limited number of constituencies, rather than nationwide. This was expected to help the government, with Reform and MO-U both polling below the threshold nationwide. Julani went on a campaign blitz, especially in Education and Uptime, two right wing strongholds, where he campaigned on fears of the DPP's abolition of Future Records. He also made multiple threats to arrest Tsai and other opposition leaders for working with "terrorists". The Kuomintang campaign began openly criticizing FWD for what the KMT saw as a lack of commitment to conservatism. The final poll was released on October 11, with election day the day after. The final poll saw the DPP's numbers increase further and the lead of the DCF be maintained.<ref>Politics. US history. Current events.</ref>
In the final days of the campaign, it was announced that "local lists" would be allowed to be formed. This means that a joint list would be able to created in only one constituency, or only a limited number of constituencies, rather than nationwide. This carries a risk, however, since votes from a joint list aren't counted towards nationwide leveling seats for a party. This was expected to help the government, with Reform and MO-U both polling below the threshold nationwide. Julani went on a campaign blitz, especially in Education and Uptime, two right wing strongholds, where he campaigned on fears of the DPP's abolition of Future Records. He also made multiple threats to arrest Tsai and other opposition leaders for working with "terrorists". The Kuomintang campaign began openly criticizing FWD for what the KMT saw as a lack of commitment to conservatism. The final poll was released on October 11, with election day the day after. The final poll saw the DPP's numbers increase further and the lead of the DCF be maintained.<ref>Politics. US history. Current events.</ref>


=== Opinion polling ===
=== Opinion polling ===
Line 526: Line 526:
| style="background:#480D67" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|26.07% {{Decrease}} 10.05%
|
|25 {{Decrease}} 8
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|24.65% {{Increase}} 10.78%
|
|24 {{Increase}} 11
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|14.79% {{Increase}} 1.82%
|
|14 {{Increase}} 2
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|6.92% {{Increase}} 2.92%
|
|6 {{Increase}} 6
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|6.56% {{Decrease}} 0.01%
|
|6 {{Steady}}
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|6.11% {{Increase}} 3.45%
|
|5 {{Increase}} 5
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|5.31% {{Decrease}} 0.81%
|5 {{Steady}}
|
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|5.11% {{Decrease}} 7.05%
|5 {{Decrease}}  6
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|4.48% {{Decrease}} 1.05%
|
|0 {{Decrease}} 5
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|
|
|}
|}
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!Seats won
!Seats won
!Seats won (post-leveling)
!Seats won (post-leveling)
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|40.07% {{Increase}} 12.11%
|
|13 {{Increase}} 4
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|18.35% {{Increase}} 1.82%
|
|5 {{Steady}}
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|[[Forward List]]{{Efn|Joint list of [[Forward Party]] and [[Momentum-Unity]]}}
|
|10.51% {{Decrease}} 18.09%
|
|3 {{Decrease}} 6
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|8.18% {{Increase}} 5.13%
|
|2 {{Increase}} 2
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|7.48% {{Increase}} 0.76%
|
|2 {{Steady}}
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|5.97% {{Decrease}} 0.84%
|
|1 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|5.87% {{Increase}} 3.76%
|1 {{Increase}} 1
|
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|3.57% {{Decrease}} 1.94%
|0 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|
|}
|}
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| style="background:#480D67" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|24.06% {{Decrease}} 6.24%
|
|14 {{Decrease}} 5
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|23.52% {{Increase}} 2.96%
|
|14 {{Increase}} 1
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|17.39% {{Decrease}} 0.70%
|
|10 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|[[Orchid Party]]
|7.10% {{Increase}} 2.48%
|4 {{Increase}} 4
|
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|6.65% {{Increase}} 1.27%
|4 {{Increase}} 1
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|6.43% {{Increase}} 1.79%
|4 {{Increase}} 4
|
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|5.80% {{Decrease}} 1.66%
|3 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|4.90% {{Decrease}} 0.96%
|
|0 {{Decrease}} 3
|
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|4.15% {{Increase}} 3.06%
|
|0 {{Steady}}
|
|
|}
|}

Latest revision as of 04:44, 13 October 2025

October 2025 Parliamentary election
← September 2025 October 12, 2025 November 2025 →
All 251 seats in the Republican National Assembly
Reporting
8.00%
as of 23:07 EDT
  First party Second party Third party
 
Candidate Tsai Ing-wen Abu Mohammad al-Julani Heidi Reichinnek
Party Democratic Progressive Party Forward Party Orchid Party
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 22.06%, 62 seats 30.47%, 82 seats 7.11%, 17 seats
Seats before 61 82 17
Seats won 10 5 3
Percentage 36.71% 19.13% 11.56%
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Candidate Peter Dutton Albert Speer Gavin Newsom
Party Kuomintang Alternative for Germany Momentum-Free Republic
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 11.42%, 28 seats 4.54%, 9 seats 8.12%, 21 seats
Seats before 28 9 23
Seats won 2 1 1
Percentage 0.00% 7.18% 6.35%
  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
 
Candidate Dominic Fritz Hunter Biden Nigel Farage
Party Momentum-Unity Relationist Party of the Radical Left Reform Party
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 9.33%, 23 seats 2.63%, 1 seat 4.32%, 8 seats
Seats before 21 2 8
Seats won 1 0 0
Percentage 5.93% 4.79% 0.00%
Cabinet before the election before election

Julani Cabinet
Forward Party-Kuomintang-Momentum-Unity

Cabinet after the election

TBD
TBD

The October 2025 general elections are scheduled to be held across the Republic on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the National Assembly will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the Galvin Amendment, a proposal by President Galvin to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the Constitution.[1]

Constituency allocation[edit | edit source]

Elections Moldova released the October constituency allocation on October 11, 2025, on the eve of the elections.[2]

Constituency allocation
Mandatory 9% Increase 1% 23 seats Increase 3
Education 36% Increase 2% 90 seats Increase 5
Labor 11% Steady 27 seats Decrease 1
Uptime 21% Steady 53 seats Steady
Downtime 8% Steady 20 seats
Consumable 15% Decrease 3% 38 seats Decrease 7

Parliamentary campaign[edit | edit source]

Main article: Julani Cabinet

The Julani Cabinet was sworn on September 16, 2025. The Pro-Constitution Bloc, also called the Constitutionalists, formed government under the Forward Party. The Kuomintang and Momentum-Unity joined the coalition. Reform was the only Pro-Constitution party which did not initially join the coalition. All Anti-Constitution Bloc parties remained in the opposition.[3]

The cabinet began by attempting to stabilize the Republic's institutions and restore trust in democracy by allowing the opposition free reign to campaign. The government attempted to reduce the powers of the Senate in minor ways. The opposition maintained that these moves were only superficial attempts to look democratic, and that FWD was still the authoritarian party it had been for the past months during the first and second Husband cabinets.

The cabinet pivoted towards the center during the early days of the cabinet. Under Labor Minister Andrew Yang, the ministry resisted attempts by the KMT to expand the work program. This enraged the KMT, which demanded the coalition lurch to the right. On September 30, after a series of scandals in the Labor Constituency, Prime Minister Julani announced that he was sacking Andrew Yang. In a deal with Reform and the KMT, inactive reform member Rudy Juliani as the new Minister. This led to mass protests in the constituency, and was the zeitgeist for the coalition's popularity beginning to decline.

On October 4th, the DPP announced its manifesto, which called for, among other things, the abolition of the Senate, curtailing the powers of the Constitutional Court, ending "Future Records", and an unconditional amnesty for all those arrested in the July Coup. Around this time, the DPP passed FWD in opinion polling for the first time, and the Anti-Constitution Bloc passed the Pro-Constitution Bloc. FWD would not recover in the polls from that point on. On October 6th, the DPP, MO-FR, OP, AfD, and RPRL announced the re-formation of the Democratic Coordination Front. The inclusion of the AfD led to controversy, with FWD strongly criticizing the opposition for the inclusion of such a radical party. The DCF was essentially a pact, with all parties agreeing not to enter a coalition with FWD, to support the DPP's constitutional reforms, to support the unconditional amnesty, and to condemn authoritarianism. Two days later, the coalition recorded a nearly 20 point lead over the Constitutionalists. On October 8th, Joe Rogan announced on behalf of the KVGW, which had been operating underground as a result of the ban on their political sector, announced that his party had made a deal with the DPP to endorse the party, and would be joining the DCF. This led to the DPP gaining further in polls as KVGW supporters who previously didn't plan to vote decided to support the DPP.

In the final days of the campaign, it was announced that "local lists" would be allowed to be formed. This means that a joint list would be able to created in only one constituency, or only a limited number of constituencies, rather than nationwide. This carries a risk, however, since votes from a joint list aren't counted towards nationwide leveling seats for a party. This was expected to help the government, with Reform and MO-U both polling below the threshold nationwide. Julani went on a campaign blitz, especially in Education and Uptime, two right wing strongholds, where he campaigned on fears of the DPP's abolition of Future Records. He also made multiple threats to arrest Tsai and other opposition leaders for working with "terrorists". The Kuomintang campaign began openly criticizing FWD for what the KMT saw as a lack of commitment to conservatism. The final poll was released on October 11, with election day the day after. The final poll saw the DPP's numbers increase further and the lead of the DCF be maintained.[4]

Opinion polling[edit | edit source]

Opinion polls were taken starting soon after the September elections. The only polling firm in the Republic is Anne Seltzer's agency, which has done polling for every election since May 2025.

On October 11, 2025, Seltzer released the final poll of the campaign on the day before the election. The poll included the approval ratings of various politicians and polling about the constitutional referendum, along with the standard parliamentary polling.[5]

Politician Approve % Disapprove %
William F. Galvin 67% 26%
Abu Mohammad al-Julani 35% 59%
Tsai Ing-wen 46% 44%
Joe Rogan 35% 45%
Peter Dutton 12% 75%

Polling by individual party list[edit | edit source]

Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election
Date O RPRL DPP MO-FR MO-U FWD KMT R AfD
10/11 9 5 35 5 2 20 13 3 6
10/8 10 3 31 7 3 19 15 3 7
10/5 8 1 28 7 3 21 13 4 7
10/2 10 2 22 9 4 23 12 5 6
9/29 10 4 22 7 7 26 13 3 6
9/26 11 2 21 7 7 28 12 3 5
9/23 8 1 20 8 10 32 12 3 4
9/20 7 2 19 8 11 31 13 4 3
9/17 6 2 18 11 10 33 12 3 4
9/14

(September election)

7.11 2.63 22.06 8.12 9.32 30.47 11.42 4.32 4.54

Polling by Constitutional alignment[edit | edit source]

Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution
Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election
Date Pro-Constitution Anti-Constitution
10/11 38 60
10/8 40 58
10/5 41 51
10/2 44 51
9/29 49 49
9/26 50 46
9/23 57 41
9/20 59 39
9/17 58 41
9/14

(September election)

55.53 44.46

Nationwide results[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Referendum campaign[edit | edit source]

On September 27, 2025, President Galvin submitted a proposal to the National Assembly through an MO-FR MP, who submitted it on his behalf. The proposed constitutional amendment was one of his campaign promises during the Presidential election. The amendment would create a mechanism for ballot measures, which could be proposed to change the law even if the current government objected. The measure required a 2/3rds majority in the National Assembly to pass, as well as a 2/3rds majority in the Senate and the approval of the Constitutional Court and President. The measure quickly gained the support of the opposition, with all parties of the Anti-Constitution Bloc (besides the AfD, which votes no on all measures in parliament by party statute) supporting the proposed amendment, along with MO-U and Reform.[6] The success of the measure depended on FWD under Julani, which was hesitant to support the measure. However, due to its immense popularity and the urging of President Galvin, the party caved and agreed to support the amendment. The Kuomintang was the only party to oppose the referendum (besides the AfD), with party leader Dutton explaining his reasoning at a press conference, saying that "The people elect a government to govern, not follow every single one of their whims. If the average person made all the decisions, we’d be bankrupt in a day after buying several thousand cookies!"

After passing in the National Assembly, the Constitutional Court of the Republic declared the amendment constitutional, and the Senate also approved the amendment. The final step was for President Galvin to formally place the measure on the ballot, which he did on September 30. The election campaign on the measure didn't attract too much attention, as the proposed amendment had immense popularity.

Opinion polling[edit | edit source]

Anne Seltzer held one poll on the referendum on October 11, the day before the election.

Date For Against
10/11 76% 15%

Nationwide results[edit | edit source]

October 2025 Constitutional Referendum
Choice Vote share
For
Against

Parliamentary results by constituency[edit | edit source]

Mandatory[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Democratic Progressive Party 36.71% Increase 11.65% 10 Increase 4
Forward Party 19.13% Decrease 9.07% 5 Decrease 2
Orchid Party 11.56% Increase 3.88% 3 Increase 2
United List[a] 8.35% Decrease 2.88% 2[b] Steady
Alternative for Germany 7.18% Increase 1.43% 1 Steady
Momentum-Free Republic 6.35% Decrease 1.68% 1 Steady
Momentum-Unity 5.93% Decrease 5.05% 1 Decrease 1
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 4.79% Increase 1.72% 0 Steady

Education[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Forward Party 26.07% Decrease 10.05% 25 Decrease 8
Democratic Progressive Party 24.65% Increase 10.78% 24 Increase 11
Kuomintang 14.79% Increase 1.82% 14 Increase 2
Orchid Party 6.92% Increase 2.92% 6 Increase 6
Momentum-Free Republic 6.56% Decrease 0.01% 6 Steady
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 6.11% Increase 3.45% 5 Increase 5
Alternative for Germany 5.31% Decrease 0.81% 5 Steady
Momentum-Unity 5.11% Decrease 7.05% 5 Decrease 6
Reform Party 4.48% Decrease 1.05% 0 Decrease 5

Labor[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Democratic Progressive Party 40.07% Increase 12.11% 13 Increase 4
Orchid Party 18.35% Increase 1.82% 5 Steady
Forward List[c] 10.51% Decrease 18.09% 3 Decrease 6
Reform Party 8.18% Increase 5.13% 2 Increase 2
Alternative for Germany 7.48% Increase 0.76% 2 Steady
Momentum-Free Republic 5.97% Decrease 0.84% 1 Decrease 1
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 5.87% Increase 3.76% 1 Increase 1
Kuomintang 3.57% Decrease 1.94% 0 Decrease 1

Uptime[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Forward Party 24.06% Decrease 6.24% 14 Decrease 5
Democratic Progressive Party 23.52% Increase 2.96% 14 Increase 1
Kuomintang 17.39% Decrease 0.70% 10 Decrease 1
Orchid Party 7.10% Increase 2.48% 4 Increase 4
Reform Party 6.65% Increase 1.27% 4 Increase 1
Alternative for Germany 6.43% Increase 1.79% 4 Increase 4
Momentum-Unity 5.80% Decrease 1.66% 3 Decrease 1
Momentum-Free Republic 4.90% Decrease 0.96% 0 Decrease 3
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 4.15% Increase 3.06% 0 Steady

Downtime[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Consumable[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Referendum results by constituency[edit | edit source]

Mandatory[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Education[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Labor[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Uptime[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Downtime[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Consumable[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Notes[edit | edit source]

  1. ↑ Joint list of the Kuomintang and Reform
  2. ↑ Both seats were won by the Kuomintang
  3. ↑ Joint list of Forward Party and Momentum-Unity

References[edit | edit source]

  1. ↑ This is probably true
  2. ↑ Grok Newsroom
  3. ↑ My friend told me
  4. ↑ Politics. US history. Current events.
  5. ↑ Truth Social
  6. ↑ A dream I had
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