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| after_party = ''[[October 2025 general election|TBD]]''
| after_party = ''[[October 2025 general election|TBD]]''
| seats_before1 = 82
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| seats_before2 = 62
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| alliance2 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance2 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| seats_before3 = 28
| seats_before3 = 28
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| seats_before7 = 9
| seats_before7 = 9
| seats_before8 = 8
| seats_before8 = 8
| seats_before9 = 1
| seats_before9 = 2
| alliance5 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance5 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance6 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance6 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
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| alliance9 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance9 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| ongoing = yes
| ongoing = yes
}}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].
| reporting = 0.00
| last_update = 20:01
| time_zone = EDT
}}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].<ref>This is probably true</ref>


== Constituency allocation ==
== Constituency allocation ==
[[Elections Moldova]] released the October constituency allocation on October 11, 2025, on the eve of the elections.<ref>Grok Newsroom</ref>
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
| colspan="3" |Constituency allocation
| colspan="3" |Constituency allocation
|-
|-
|Mandatory
|Mandatory
|''TBD''
|9% {{Increase}} 1%
|''TBD''
|23 seats {{Increase}} 3
|-
|-
|Education
|Education
|''TBD''
|36% {{Increase}} 2%
|''TBD''
|90 seats {{Increase}} 5
|-
|-
|Labor
|Labor
|''TBD''
|11% {{Steady}}
|''TBD''
|27 seats {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
|Uptime
|Uptime
|''TBD''
|21% {{Steady}}
|''TBD''
|53 seats {{Steady}}
|-
|-
|Downtime
|Downtime
|''TBD''
|8% {{Steady}}
|''TBD''
|20 seats
|-
|-
|Consumable
|Consumable
|''TBD''
|15% {{Decrease}} 3%
|''TBD''
|38 seats {{Decrease}} 7
|}
|}


== Parliamentary campaign ==
== Parliamentary campaign ==
{{Main|Julani Cabinet}}
The [[Julani Cabinet]] was sworn on September 16, 2025. The [[Pro-Constitution Bloc]], also called the Constitutionalists, formed government under the [[Forward Party]]. The [[Kuomintang]] and [[Momentum-Unity]] joined the coalition. Reform was the only Pro-Constitution party which did not initially join the coalition. All [[Anti-Constitution Bloc]] parties remained in the opposition.<ref>My friend told me</ref>
The cabinet began by attempting to stabilize [[the Republic]]'s institutions and restore trust in democracy by allowing the opposition free reign to campaign. The government attempted to reduce the powers of the [[Senate]] in minor ways. The opposition maintained that these moves were only superficial attempts to look democratic, and that FWD was still the authoritarian party it had been for the past months during the [[Husband Cabinet I|first]] and [[Husband Cabinet II|second]] Husband cabinets.
The cabinet pivoted towards the center during the early days of the cabinet. Under [[Ministry of Labor|Labor Minister]] [[Andrew Yang]], the ministry resisted attempts by the KMT to expand the work program. This enraged the KMT, which demanded the coalition lurch to the right. On September 30, after a series of scandals in the Labor Constituency, Prime Minister Julani announced that he was sacking Andrew Yang. In a deal with Reform and the KMT, inactive reform member Rudy Juliani as the new Minister. This led to mass protests in the constituency, and was the zeitgeist for the coalition's popularity beginning to decline.
On October 4th, the [[DPP]] announced its manifesto, which called for, among other things, the abolition of the [[Senate]], curtailing the powers of the [[Constitutional Court]], ending "Future Records", and an unconditional amnesty for all those arrested in the July Coup. Around this time, the DPP passed FWD in opinion polling for the first time, and the Anti-Constitution Bloc passed the Pro-Constitution Bloc. FWD would not recover in the polls from that point on. On October 6th, the DPP, [[MO-FR]], [[Orchid Party|OP]], [[AfD]], and [[RPRL]] announced the re-formation of the [[Democratic Coordination Front]]. The inclusion of the AfD led to controversy, with FWD strongly criticizing the opposition for the inclusion of such a radical party. The DCF was essentially a pact, with all parties agreeing not to enter a coalition with FWD, to support the DPP's constitutional reforms, to support the unconditional amnesty, and to condemn authoritarianism. Two days later, the coalition recorded a nearly 20 point lead over the Constitutionalists. On October 8th, [[Joe Rogan]] announced on behalf of the [[KVGW]], which had been operating underground as a result of the ban on their political sector, announced that his party had made a deal with the DPP to endorse the party, and would be joining the DCF. This led to the DPP gaining further in polls as KVGW supporters who previously didn't plan to vote decided to support the DPP.
In the final days of the campaign, it was announced that "local lists" would be allowed to be formed. This means that a joint list would be able to created in only one constituency, or only a limited number of constituencies, rather than nationwide. This was expected to help the government, with Reform and MO-U both polling below the threshold nationwide. Julani went on a campaign blitz, especially in Education and Uptime, two right wing strongholds, where he campaigned on fears of the DPP's abolition of Future Records. He also made multiple threats to arrest Tsai and other opposition leaders for working with "terrorists". The Kuomintang campaign began openly criticizing FWD for what the KMT saw as a lack of commitment to conservatism. The final poll was released on October 11, with election day the day after. The final poll saw the DPP's numbers increase further and the lead of the DCF be maintained.<ref>Politics. US history. Current events.</ref>


=== Opinion polling ===
=== Opinion polling ===
Opinion polls were taken starting soon after the [[September 2025 general election|September elections]]. The only polling firm in [[the Republic]] is [[Anne Seltzer|Anne Seltzer's]] agency, which has done polling for every election since [[May 2025 Parliamentary election|May 2025]].
Opinion polls were taken starting soon after the [[September 2025 general election|September elections]]. The only polling firm in [[the Republic]] is [[Anne Seltzer|Anne Seltzer's]] agency, which has done polling for every election since [[May 2025 Parliamentary election|May 2025]].
On October 11, 2025, Seltzer released the final poll of the campaign on the day before the election. The poll included the approval ratings of various politicians and polling about the constitutional referendum, along with the standard parliamentary polling.<ref>Truth Social</ref>
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Politician
!Approve %
!Disapprove %
|-
|[[William F. Galvin]]
|67%
|26%
|-
|[[Abu Mohammad al-Julani]]
|35%
|59%
|-
|[[Tsai Ing-wen]]
|46%
|44%
|-
|[[Joe Rogan]]
|35%
|45%
|-
|[[Peter Dutton]]
|12%
|75%
|}


==== Polling by individual party list ====
==== Polling by individual party list ====
[[File:Opinion polling for the 2025 parliamentary election (party).svg|alt=Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election]]
[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election by party.svg|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election]]
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|Date
|rowspan="2"|Date
|[[Orchid Party|O]]
|[[Orchid Party|O]]
|[[RPRL]]
|[[RPRL]]
Line 159: Line 201:
|[[Reform|R]]
|[[Reform|R]]
|[[AfD]]
|[[AfD]]
|-
! style="color:inherit;background:#C21E56;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#56277E;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#1B9431;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#768135;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#C3D746;" |
! style="color:inherit;background:#480D67;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#000099;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#12B6CF;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#964B00;"|
|-
|10/11
|9
|5
| style="background:#1B9431; color:white;" |35
|5
|2
|20
|13
|3
|6
|-
|10/8
|10
|3
| style="background:#1B9431; color:white;" |31
|7
|3
|19
|15
|3
|7
|-
|-
|10/5
|10/5
|8
|8
|1
|1
|28
| style="background:#1B9431; color:white;" |28
|7
|7
|3
|3
Line 177: Line 251:
|9
|9
|4
|4
|23
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |23
|12
|12
|5
|5
Line 188: Line 262:
|7
|7
|7
|7
|26
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |26
|13
|13
|3
|3
Line 199: Line 273:
|7
|7
|7
|7
|28
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |28
|12
|12
|3
|3
Line 210: Line 284:
|8
|8
|10
|10
|32
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |32
|12
|12
|3
|3
Line 221: Line 295:
|8
|8
|11
|11
|31
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |31
|13
|13
|4
|4
Line 232: Line 306:
|11
|11
|10
|10
|33
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |33
|12
|12
|3
|3
Line 245: Line 319:
|8.12
|8.12
|9.32
|9.32
|30.47
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |30.47
|11.42
|11.42
|4.32
|4.32
Line 254: Line 328:
[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election (constitutional).svg|alt=Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election]]
[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election (constitutional).svg|alt=Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election]]
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|Date
|rowspan="2"|Date
|[[Pro-Constitution]]
|[[Pro-Constitution]]
|[[Anti-Constitution]]
|[[Anti-Constitution]]
|-
! style="color:inherit;background:blue;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:red;"|
|-
|10/11
|38
| style="background:red; color:white;" |60
|-
|10/8
|40
| style="background:red; color:white;" |58
|-
|-
|10/5
|10/5
|41
|41
|51
| style="background:red; color:white;" |51
|-
|-
|10/2
|10/2
|44
|44
|51
| style="background:red; color:white;" |51
|-
|-
|9/29
|9/29
|49
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |49
|49
| style="background:red; color:white;" |49
|-
|-
|9/26
|9/26
|50
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |50
|46
|46
|-
|-
|9/23
|9/23
|57
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |57
|41
|41
|-
|-
|9/20
|9/20
|59
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |59
|39
|39
|-
|-
|9/17
|9/17
|58
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |58
|41
|41
|-
|-
Line 289: Line 374:
(September
(September
election)
election)
|55.53
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |55.53
|44.46
|44.46
|}
|}
=== Nationwide results ===
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Seats won
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|}
== Referendum campaign ==
On September 27, 2025, [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] submitted a proposal to the [[National Assembly]] through an MO-FR MP, who submitted it on his behalf. The proposed constitutional amendment was one of his campaign promises during the Presidential election. The amendment would create a mechanism for ballot measures, which could be proposed to change the law even if the current government objected. The measure required a 2/3rds majority in the National Assembly to pass, as well as a 2/3rds majority in the [[Senate]] and the approval of the [[Constitutional Court]] and [[President of the Republic|President]]. The measure quickly gained the support of the opposition, with all parties of the [[Anti-Constitution Bloc]] (besides the [[AfD]], which votes no on all measures in parliament by party statute) supporting the proposed amendment, along with [[MO-U]] and [[Reform]].<ref>A dream I had</ref> The success of the measure depended on [[FWD]] under [[Abu Muhammad al-Julani|Julani]], which was hesitant to support the measure. However, due to its immense popularity and the urging of President Galvin, the party caved and agreed to support the amendment. The [[Kuomintang]] was the only party to oppose the referendum (besides the AfD), with party leader Dutton explaining his reasoning at a press conference, saying that "The people elect a government to govern, not follow every single one of their whims. If the average person made all the decisions, we’d be bankrupt in a day after buying several thousand cookies!"
After passing in the National Assembly, the Constitutional Court of the Republic declared the amendment constitutional, and the Senate also approved the amendment. The final step was for President Galvin to formally place the measure on the ballot, which he did on September 30. The election campaign on the measure didn't attract too much attention, as the proposed amendment had immense popularity.
=== Opinion polling ===
Anne Seltzer held one poll on the referendum on October 11, the day before the election.
{| class="wikitable"
|+
!Date
!For
!Against
|-
|10/11
|76%
|15%
|}
=== Nationwide results ===
{| class="wikitable"
|+October 2025 Constitutional Referendum
!Choice
!Vote share
|-
|For
|
|-
|Against
|
|}
== Parliamentary results by constituency ==
=== Mandatory ===
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Seats won
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|}
=== Education ===
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Seats won
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|}
=== Labor ===
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Seats won
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|}
=== Uptime ===
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Seats won
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|}
=== Downtime ===
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Seats won
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|}
=== Consumable ===
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Seats won
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|
|}
== Referendum results by constituency ==
=== Mandatory ===
{| class="wikitable"
!Choice
!Vote share
|-
|For
|
|-
|Against
|
|}
=== Education ===
{| class="wikitable"
!Choice
!Vote share
|-
|For
|
|-
|Against
|
|}
=== Labor ===
{| class="wikitable"
!Choice
!Vote share
|-
|For
|
|-
|Against
|
|}
=== Uptime ===
{| class="wikitable"
!Choice
!Vote share
|-
|For
|
|-
|Against
|
|}
=== Downtime ===
{| class="wikitable"
!Choice
!Vote share
|-
|For
|
|-
|Against
|
|}
=== Consumable ===
{| class="wikitable"
!Choice
!Vote share
|-
|For
|
|-
|Against
|
|}
== References ==
{{Reflist}}
[[Category:General elections]]
[[Category:Parliamentary elections]]
[[Category:Constitutional referendums]]

Revision as of 02:22, 13 October 2025

October 2025 Parliamentary election
← September 2025 October 12, 2025 November 2025 →
All 251 seats in the Republican National Assembly
Reporting
0.00%
as of 20:01 EDT
 
Candidate Abu Mohammad al-Julani Tsai Ing-wen Peter Dutton
Party Forward Party Democratic Progressive Party Kuomintang
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 30.47%, 82 seats 22.06%, 62 seats 11.42%, 28 seats
Current seats 82 61 28
 
Candidate Dominic Fritz Gavin Newsom Heidi Reichinnek
Party Momentum-Unity Momentum-Free Republic Orchid Party
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 9.33%, 23 seats 8.12%, 21 seats 7.11%, 17 seats
Current seats 21 23 17
 
Candidate Albert Speer Nigel Farage Hunter Biden
Party Alternative for Germany Reform Party Relationist Party of the Radical Left
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 4.54%, 9 seats 4.32%, 8 seats 2.63%, 1 seat
Current seats 9 8 2
Incumbent Cabinet before the election

Julani Cabinet
Forward Party-Kuomintang-Momentum-Unity



The October 2025 general elections are scheduled to be held across the Republic on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the National Assembly will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the Galvin Amendment, a proposal by President Galvin to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the Constitution.[1]

Constituency allocation

Elections Moldova released the October constituency allocation on October 11, 2025, on the eve of the elections.[2]

Constituency allocation
Mandatory 9% Increase 1% 23 seats Increase 3
Education 36% Increase 2% 90 seats Increase 5
Labor 11% Steady 27 seats Decrease 1
Uptime 21% Steady 53 seats Steady
Downtime 8% Steady 20 seats
Consumable 15% Decrease 3% 38 seats Decrease 7

Parliamentary campaign

Main article: Julani Cabinet

The Julani Cabinet was sworn on September 16, 2025. The Pro-Constitution Bloc, also called the Constitutionalists, formed government under the Forward Party. The Kuomintang and Momentum-Unity joined the coalition. Reform was the only Pro-Constitution party which did not initially join the coalition. All Anti-Constitution Bloc parties remained in the opposition.[3]

The cabinet began by attempting to stabilize the Republic's institutions and restore trust in democracy by allowing the opposition free reign to campaign. The government attempted to reduce the powers of the Senate in minor ways. The opposition maintained that these moves were only superficial attempts to look democratic, and that FWD was still the authoritarian party it had been for the past months during the first and second Husband cabinets.

The cabinet pivoted towards the center during the early days of the cabinet. Under Labor Minister Andrew Yang, the ministry resisted attempts by the KMT to expand the work program. This enraged the KMT, which demanded the coalition lurch to the right. On September 30, after a series of scandals in the Labor Constituency, Prime Minister Julani announced that he was sacking Andrew Yang. In a deal with Reform and the KMT, inactive reform member Rudy Juliani as the new Minister. This led to mass protests in the constituency, and was the zeitgeist for the coalition's popularity beginning to decline.

On October 4th, the DPP announced its manifesto, which called for, among other things, the abolition of the Senate, curtailing the powers of the Constitutional Court, ending "Future Records", and an unconditional amnesty for all those arrested in the July Coup. Around this time, the DPP passed FWD in opinion polling for the first time, and the Anti-Constitution Bloc passed the Pro-Constitution Bloc. FWD would not recover in the polls from that point on. On October 6th, the DPP, MO-FR, OP, AfD, and RPRL announced the re-formation of the Democratic Coordination Front. The inclusion of the AfD led to controversy, with FWD strongly criticizing the opposition for the inclusion of such a radical party. The DCF was essentially a pact, with all parties agreeing not to enter a coalition with FWD, to support the DPP's constitutional reforms, to support the unconditional amnesty, and to condemn authoritarianism. Two days later, the coalition recorded a nearly 20 point lead over the Constitutionalists. On October 8th, Joe Rogan announced on behalf of the KVGW, which had been operating underground as a result of the ban on their political sector, announced that his party had made a deal with the DPP to endorse the party, and would be joining the DCF. This led to the DPP gaining further in polls as KVGW supporters who previously didn't plan to vote decided to support the DPP.

In the final days of the campaign, it was announced that "local lists" would be allowed to be formed. This means that a joint list would be able to created in only one constituency, or only a limited number of constituencies, rather than nationwide. This was expected to help the government, with Reform and MO-U both polling below the threshold nationwide. Julani went on a campaign blitz, especially in Education and Uptime, two right wing strongholds, where he campaigned on fears of the DPP's abolition of Future Records. He also made multiple threats to arrest Tsai and other opposition leaders for working with "terrorists". The Kuomintang campaign began openly criticizing FWD for what the KMT saw as a lack of commitment to conservatism. The final poll was released on October 11, with election day the day after. The final poll saw the DPP's numbers increase further and the lead of the DCF be maintained.[4]

Opinion polling

Opinion polls were taken starting soon after the September elections. The only polling firm in the Republic is Anne Seltzer's agency, which has done polling for every election since May 2025.

On October 11, 2025, Seltzer released the final poll of the campaign on the day before the election. The poll included the approval ratings of various politicians and polling about the constitutional referendum, along with the standard parliamentary polling.[5]

Politician Approve % Disapprove %
William F. Galvin 67% 26%
Abu Mohammad al-Julani 35% 59%
Tsai Ing-wen 46% 44%
Joe Rogan 35% 45%
Peter Dutton 12% 75%

Polling by individual party list

Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election
Date O RPRL DPP MO-FR MO-U FWD KMT R AfD
10/11 9 5 35 5 2 20 13 3 6
10/8 10 3 31 7 3 19 15 3 7
10/5 8 1 28 7 3 21 13 4 7
10/2 10 2 22 9 4 23 12 5 6
9/29 10 4 22 7 7 26 13 3 6
9/26 11 2 21 7 7 28 12 3 5
9/23 8 1 20 8 10 32 12 3 4
9/20 7 2 19 8 11 31 13 4 3
9/17 6 2 18 11 10 33 12 3 4
9/14

(September election)

7.11 2.63 22.06 8.12 9.32 30.47 11.42 4.32 4.54

Polling by Constitutional alignment

Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution
Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election
Date Pro-Constitution Anti-Constitution
10/11 38 60
10/8 40 58
10/5 41 51
10/2 44 51
9/29 49 49
9/26 50 46
9/23 57 41
9/20 59 39
9/17 58 41
9/14

(September election)

55.53 44.46

Nationwide results

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Referendum campaign

On September 27, 2025, President Galvin submitted a proposal to the National Assembly through an MO-FR MP, who submitted it on his behalf. The proposed constitutional amendment was one of his campaign promises during the Presidential election. The amendment would create a mechanism for ballot measures, which could be proposed to change the law even if the current government objected. The measure required a 2/3rds majority in the National Assembly to pass, as well as a 2/3rds majority in the Senate and the approval of the Constitutional Court and President. The measure quickly gained the support of the opposition, with all parties of the Anti-Constitution Bloc (besides the AfD, which votes no on all measures in parliament by party statute) supporting the proposed amendment, along with MO-U and Reform.[6] The success of the measure depended on FWD under Julani, which was hesitant to support the measure. However, due to its immense popularity and the urging of President Galvin, the party caved and agreed to support the amendment. The Kuomintang was the only party to oppose the referendum (besides the AfD), with party leader Dutton explaining his reasoning at a press conference, saying that "The people elect a government to govern, not follow every single one of their whims. If the average person made all the decisions, we’d be bankrupt in a day after buying several thousand cookies!"

After passing in the National Assembly, the Constitutional Court of the Republic declared the amendment constitutional, and the Senate also approved the amendment. The final step was for President Galvin to formally place the measure on the ballot, which he did on September 30. The election campaign on the measure didn't attract too much attention, as the proposed amendment had immense popularity.

Opinion polling

Anne Seltzer held one poll on the referendum on October 11, the day before the election.

Date For Against
10/11 76% 15%

Nationwide results

October 2025 Constitutional Referendum
Choice Vote share
For
Against

Parliamentary results by constituency

Mandatory

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Education

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Labor

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Uptime

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Downtime

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Consumable

Party Vote share Seats won
Forward Party
Democratic Progressive Party
Kuomintang
Momentum-Unity
Momentum-Free Republic
Orchid Party
Alternative for Germany
Reform Party
Relationist Party of the Radical Left

Referendum results by constituency

Mandatory

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Education

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Labor

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Uptime

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Downtime

Choice Vote share
For
Against

Consumable

Choice Vote share
For
Against

References

  1. ↑ This is probably true
  2. ↑ Grok Newsroom
  3. ↑ My friend told me
  4. ↑ Politics. US history. Current events.
  5. ↑ Truth Social
  6. ↑ A dream I had
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