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October 2025 general election: Difference between revisions

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Line 13: Line 13:
| image1 = File:蔡英文官方元首肖像照.png
| image1 = File:蔡英文官方元首肖像照.png
| last_election1 = 22.06%, 62 seats
| last_election1 = 22.06%, 62 seats
| seats1 = 10
| seats1 = 82{{efn|3 [[KVGW]] candidates ran on the [[DPP]] list as the KVGW list was barred from running}}
| seat_change1 =  
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 20
| percentage1 = 36.71%
| percentage1 = 29.78%
| swing1 =  
| swing1 = {{increase}} 7.72 pp
| seats_before1 = 61
| seats_before1 = 61
| alliance1 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance1 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| candidate2 = [[Abu Mohammad al-Julani]]
| candidate2 = [[Abu Mohammad al-Julani]]
| colour2 = 480D67
| colour2 = 480D67
Line 25: Line 26:
| last_election2 = 30.47%, 82 seats
| last_election2 = 30.47%, 82 seats
| seats_before2 = 82
| seats_before2 = 82
| seats2 = 5
| seats2 = 59{{efn|The party ran on a joint list in some constituencies. The vote share from those constituencies is not added to the party's vote total.|name=joint}}
| seat_change2 =  
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 23
| percentage2 = 19.13%
| percentage2 = 19.13%
| swing2 =  
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 11.34 pp
| candidate3 = [[Heidi Reichinnek]]
 
| colour3 = C21E56
| candidate3 = [[Peter Dutton]]
| party3 = [[Orchid Party]]
| colour3 = 000099
| image3 = File:Official Portrait of Heidi Reichinnek.png
| party3 = [[Kuomintang]]
| last_election3 = 7.11%, 17 seats
| image3 = File:Peter Dutton-2024.jpg
| seats3 = 3
| last_election3 = 11.42%, 28 seats
| seat_change3 =  
| seats3 = 28{{efn|name=joint}}
| percentage3 = 11.56%
| seat_change3 = {{steady}}
| swing3 =  
| percentage3 = 9.37%
| seats_before3 = 17
| swing3 = {{decrease}} 2.05 pp
| alliance3 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| seats_before3 = 28
| candidate7 = [[Dominic Fritz]]
 
| colour7 = C3D746
| candidate4 = [[Heidi Reichinnek]]
| party7 = [[Momentum-Unity]]
| colour4 = C21E56
| image7 = File:Dominic Fritz (May 2025).jpg
| party4 = [[Orchid Party]]
| last_election7 = 9.33%, 23 seats
| image4 = File:Official Portrait of Heidi Reichinnek.png
| seats7 = 1
| last_election4 = 7.11%, 17 seats
| seat_change7 =  
| seats4 = 24
| percentage7 = 5.93%
| seat_change4 = {{increase}} 7
| swing7 =  
| percentage4 = 9.50%
| seats_before7 = 21
| swing4 = {{increase}} 2.39 pp
| seats_before4 = 17
| alliance4 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
 
| candidate5 = [[Albert Speer]]
| colour5 = 964B00
| party5 = [[Alternative for Germany]]
| image5 = File:Bundesarchiv Bild 146II-277, Albert Speer.jpg
| last_election5 = 4.54%, 9 seats
| seats5 = 16
| seat_change5 = {{increase}} 7
| percentage5 = 6.74%
| swing5 = {{increase}} 2.20 pp
| seats_before5 = 9
| alliance5 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
 
| candidate6 = [[Gavin Newsom]]
| candidate6 = [[Gavin Newsom]]
| colour6 = 768135
| colour6 = 768135
Line 55: Line 71:
| image6 = File:Newsom April 2024 (3x4 cropped b).jpg
| image6 = File:Newsom April 2024 (3x4 cropped b).jpg
| last_election6 = 8.12%, 21 seats
| last_election6 = 8.12%, 21 seats
| seats6 = 1
| seats6 = 14
| seat_change6 =  
| seat_change6 = {{decrease}} 7
| percentage6 = 6.35%
| percentage6 = 6.41%
| swing6 =  
| swing6 = {{decrease}} 1.71 pp
| seats_before6 = 23
| seats_before6 = 23
| alliance6 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance6 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| candidate5 = [[Albert Speer]]
 
| colour5 = 964B00
| candidate7 = [[Dominic Fritz]]
| party5 = [[Alternative for Germany]]
| colour7 = C3D746
| image5 = File:Bundesarchiv Bild 146II-277, Albert Speer.jpg
| party7 = [[Momentum-Unity]]
| last_election5 = 4.54%, 9 seats
| image7 = File:Dominic Fritz (May 2025).jpg
| seats5 = 1
| last_election7 = 9.33%, 23 seats
| seat_change5 =  
| seats7 = 12
| percentage5 = 7.18%
| seat_change7 = {{decrease}} 11
| swing5 =  
| percentage7 = 4.36%{{efn|name=joint}}
| seats_before5 = 9
| swing7 = {{decrease}} 3.40 pp
| alliance5 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| seats_before7 = 21
 
| candidate8 = [[Hunter Biden]]
| candidate8 = [[Hunter Biden]]
| colour8 = 56277E
| colour8 = 56277E
Line 77: Line 94:
| image8 = File:Hunter Biden September 30, 2014.jpg
| image8 = File:Hunter Biden September 30, 2014.jpg
| last_election8 = 2.63%, 1 seat
| last_election8 = 2.63%, 1 seat
| seats8 = 0
| seats8 = 11
| seat_change8 =  
| seat_change8 = {{increase}} 10
| percentage8 = 4.79%
| percentage8 = 5.39%
| swing8 =  
| swing8 = {{increase}} 2.76 pp
| seats_before8 = 2
| seats_before8 = 2
| alliance8 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| alliance8 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]]
| candidate4 = [[Peter Dutton]]
 
| colour4 = 000099
| party4 = [[Kuomintang]]
| image4 = File:Peter Dutton-2024.jpg
| last_election4 = 11.42%, 28 seats
| seats4 = 2
| seat_change4 =
| percentage4 = 0.00%
| swing4 =
| seats_before4 = 28
| candidate9 = [[Nigel Farage]]
| candidate9 = [[Nigel Farage]]
| colour9 = 12B6CF
| colour9 = 12B6CF
Line 98: Line 106:
| image9 = File:Pogday.jpg
| image9 = File:Pogday.jpg
| last_election9 = 4.32%, 8 seats
| last_election9 = 4.32%, 8 seats
| seats9 = 0
| seats9 = 5
| seat_change9 =  
| seat_change9 = {{decrease}} 3
| percentage9 = 0.00%
| percentage9 = 3.91%{{efn|name=joint}}
| swing9 =  
| swing9 = {{decrease}} 0.41 pp
| seats_before9 = 8
| seats_before9 = 8
| title = [[Cabinet]] before the election
| title = [[Cabinet]] before the election
| before_election = [[Julani Cabinet]]
| before_election = [[Julani Cabinet]]
Line 110: Line 119:
| after_party = ''[[October 2025 general election|TBD]]''
| after_party = ''[[October 2025 general election|TBD]]''
| ongoing = no
| ongoing = no
| reporting = 8.00
| reporting =  
| last_update = 23:07
| last_update =  
| time_zone = EDT
| time_zone =  
}}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].<ref>This is probably true</ref>
}}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].<ref>This is probably true</ref>


Line 379: Line 388:


=== Nationwide results ===
=== Nationwide results ===
Note: percentages will not add up to 100% as vote share from local lists is not added to totals for parties.
Joint lists ran in some constituencies. The totals of all joint lists are added together.
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Vote share
!Vote share
!Seats won (pre-leveling)
!Seats won
!Seats won
|-
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|
|29.78% {{Increase}} 7.72%
|84
|82 {{Increase}} 20
|
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|19.72% {{Decrease}} 10.75%
|59 {{Decrease}} 23
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|9.37% {{Decrease}} 2.05%
|28 {{Steady}}
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|9.50% {{Increase}} 2.39%
|24 {{Increase}} 7
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|6.74% {{Increase}} 2.20%
|16 {{Increase}} 7
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|6.41% {{Decrease}} 1.71%
|14 {{Decrease}} 7
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|4.36% {{Decrease}} 4.97%
|12 {{Decrease}} 11
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|5.39% {{Increase}} 2.76%
|11 {{Increase}} 10
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|3.91% {{Decrease}} 0.41%
|5 {{Decrease}} 3
|-
| style="background:{{Color box striped|#480D67|#000099}}" |
|Joint lists
|4.82%
|N/A
|}
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]]
!Seats won (before leveling, not final count)
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|85
|-
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|[[Forward Party]]
|
|61
|60
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[Kuomintang]]
|[[Kuomintang]]
|
|27
|28
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
|[[Orchid Party]]
|[[Orchid Party]]
|
|24
|24
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|[[Alternative for Germany]]
|
|17
|17
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]]
|
|12
|12
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
| style="background:#C3D746" |
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|[[Momentum-Unity]]
|
|12
|11
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]]
|
|7
|7
|
|-
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
|[[Reform Party]]
|[[Reform Party]]
|
|6
|7
|
|}
|}


Line 465: Line 509:
!Vote share
!Vote share
|-
|-
|For
|'''For'''
|
|'''80.00%'''
|-
|-
|Against
|Against
|
|20.00%
|}
|}


Line 484: Line 528:
|36.71% {{Increase}} 11.65%
|36.71% {{Increase}} 11.65%
|10 {{Increase}} 4
|10 {{Increase}} 4
|
|9 {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
Line 490: Line 534:
|19.13% {{Decrease}} 9.07%
|19.13% {{Decrease}} 9.07%
|5 {{Decrease}} 2
|5 {{Decrease}} 2
|
|5 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
Line 496: Line 540:
|11.56% {{Increase}} 3.88%
|11.56% {{Increase}} 3.88%
|3 {{Increase}} 2
|3 {{Increase}} 2
|
|3 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
Line 502: Line 546:
|8.35% {{Decrease}} 2.88%
|8.35% {{Decrease}} 2.88%
|2{{Efn|Both seats were won by the [[Kuomintang]]}} {{Steady}}
|2{{Efn|Both seats were won by the [[Kuomintang]]}} {{Steady}}
|
|2 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
Line 508: Line 552:
|7.18% {{Increase}} 1.43%
|7.18% {{Increase}} 1.43%
|1 {{Steady}}
|1 {{Steady}}
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
Line 514: Line 558:
|6.35% {{Decrease}} 1.68%
|6.35% {{Decrease}} 1.68%
|1 {{Steady}}
|1 {{Steady}}
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
| style="background:#C3D746" |
Line 520: Line 564:
|5.93% {{Decrease}} 5.05%
|5.93% {{Decrease}} 5.05%
|1 {{Decrease}} 1
|1 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
Line 526: Line 570:
|4.79% {{Increase}} 1.72%
|4.79% {{Increase}} 1.72%
|0 {{Steady}}
|0 {{Steady}}
|
|1 {{Increase}} 1
|}
|}
=== Education ===
=== Education ===
Line 539: Line 583:
|26.07% {{Decrease}} 10.05%
|26.07% {{Decrease}} 10.05%
|25 {{Decrease}} 8
|25 {{Decrease}} 8
|
|25 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
| style="background:#1B9431" |
Line 545: Line 589:
|24.65% {{Increase}} 10.78%
|24.65% {{Increase}} 10.78%
|24 {{Increase}} 11
|24 {{Increase}} 11
|
|24 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
Line 551: Line 595:
|14.79% {{Increase}} 1.82%
|14.79% {{Increase}} 1.82%
|14 {{Increase}} 2
|14 {{Increase}} 2
|
|14 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
Line 557: Line 601:
|6.92% {{Increase}} 2.92%
|6.92% {{Increase}} 2.92%
|6 {{Increase}} 6
|6 {{Increase}} 6
|
|6 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
Line 563: Line 607:
|6.56% {{Decrease}} 0.01%
|6.56% {{Decrease}} 0.01%
|6 {{Steady}}
|6 {{Steady}}
|
|6 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
Line 569: Line 613:
|6.11% {{Increase}} 3.45%
|6.11% {{Increase}} 3.45%
|5 {{Increase}} 5
|5 {{Increase}} 5
|
|5 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
Line 575: Line 619:
|5.31% {{Decrease}} 0.81%
|5.31% {{Decrease}} 0.81%
|5 {{Steady}}
|5 {{Steady}}
|
|5 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
| style="background:#C3D746" |
Line 581: Line 625:
|5.11% {{Decrease}} 7.05%
|5.11% {{Decrease}} 7.05%
|5 {{Decrease}}  6
|5 {{Decrease}}  6
|
|5 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
Line 587: Line 631:
|4.48% {{Decrease}} 1.05%
|4.48% {{Decrease}} 1.05%
|0 {{Decrease}} 5
|0 {{Decrease}} 5
|
|0 {{Steady}}
|}
|}
=== Labor ===
=== Labor ===
Line 600: Line 644:
|40.07% {{Increase}} 12.11%
|40.07% {{Increase}} 12.11%
|13 {{Increase}} 4
|13 {{Increase}} 4
|
|12 {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
Line 606: Line 650:
|18.35% {{Increase}} 1.82%
|18.35% {{Increase}} 1.82%
|5 {{Steady}}
|5 {{Steady}}
|
|5 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
Line 612: Line 656:
|10.51% {{Decrease}} 18.09%
|10.51% {{Decrease}} 18.09%
|3{{Efn|All 3 seats were won by [[Forward Party]]}} {{Decrease}} 6
|3{{Efn|All 3 seats were won by [[Forward Party]]}} {{Decrease}} 6
|
|3 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
Line 618: Line 662:
|8.18% {{Increase}} 5.13%
|8.18% {{Increase}} 5.13%
|2 {{Increase}} 2
|2 {{Increase}} 2
|
|2 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
Line 624: Line 668:
|7.48% {{Increase}} 0.76%
|7.48% {{Increase}} 0.76%
|2 {{Steady}}
|2 {{Steady}}
|
|2 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
Line 630: Line 674:
|5.97% {{Decrease}} 0.84%
|5.97% {{Decrease}} 0.84%
|1 {{Decrease}} 1
|1 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
Line 636: Line 680:
|5.87% {{Increase}} 3.76%
|5.87% {{Increase}} 3.76%
|1 {{Increase}} 1
|1 {{Increase}} 1
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
Line 642: Line 686:
|3.57% {{Decrease}} 1.94%
|3.57% {{Decrease}} 1.94%
|0 {{Decrease}} 1
|0 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|}
|}
=== Uptime ===
=== Uptime ===
Line 655: Line 699:
|24.06% {{Decrease}} 6.24%
|24.06% {{Decrease}} 6.24%
|14 {{Decrease}} 5
|14 {{Decrease}} 5
|
|13 {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
| style="background:#1B9431" |
| style="background:#1B9431" |
Line 661: Line 705:
|23.52% {{Increase}} 2.96%
|23.52% {{Increase}} 2.96%
|14 {{Increase}} 1
|14 {{Increase}} 1
|
|13 {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
Line 667: Line 711:
|17.39% {{Decrease}} 0.70%
|17.39% {{Decrease}} 0.70%
|10 {{Decrease}} 1
|10 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|10 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
Line 673: Line 717:
|7.10% {{Increase}} 2.48%
|7.10% {{Increase}} 2.48%
|4 {{Increase}} 4
|4 {{Increase}} 4
|
|4 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
| style="background:#12B6CF" |
Line 679: Line 723:
|6.65% {{Increase}} 1.27%
|6.65% {{Increase}} 1.27%
|4 {{Increase}} 1
|4 {{Increase}} 1
|
|3 {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
Line 685: Line 729:
|6.43% {{Increase}} 1.79%
|6.43% {{Increase}} 1.79%
|4 {{Increase}} 4
|4 {{Increase}} 4
|
|3 {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
| style="background:#C3D746" |
Line 691: Line 735:
|5.80% {{Decrease}} 1.66%
|5.80% {{Decrease}} 1.66%
|3 {{Decrease}} 1
|3 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|3 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
Line 697: Line 741:
|4.90% {{Decrease}} 0.96%
|4.90% {{Decrease}} 0.96%
|0 {{Decrease}} 3
|0 {{Decrease}} 3
|
|2 {{Increase}} 2
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
Line 703: Line 747:
|4.15% {{Increase}} 3.06%
|4.15% {{Increase}} 3.06%
|0 {{Steady}}
|0 {{Steady}}
|
|2 {{Increase}} 2
|}
|}
=== Downtime ===
=== Downtime ===
Line 716: Line 760:
|34.92% {{Increase}} 1.32%
|34.92% {{Increase}} 1.32%
|8 {{Steady}}
|8 {{Steady}}
|
|8 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
Line 722: Line 766:
|24.91% {{Decrease}} 3.91%
|24.91% {{Decrease}} 3.91%
|5{{Efn|3 seats were won by [[Forward Party]] and 1 each was won by the [[Kuomintang]] and [[Momentum-Unity]]}}{{Steady}}
|5{{Efn|3 seats were won by [[Forward Party]] and 1 each was won by the [[Kuomintang]] and [[Momentum-Unity]]}}{{Steady}}
|
|5 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
Line 728: Line 772:
|15.50% {{Increase}} 0.68%
|15.50% {{Increase}} 0.68%
|3 {{Steady}}
|3 {{Steady}}
|
|3 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
Line 734: Line 778:
|9.99% {{Increase}} 2.21%
|9.99% {{Increase}} 2.21%
|2 {{Increase}} 1
|2 {{Increase}} 1
|
|2 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
Line 740: Line 784:
|7.76% {{Increase}} 2.23%
|7.76% {{Increase}} 2.23%
|1 {{Steady}}
|1 {{Steady}}
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
Line 746: Line 790:
|6.92% {{Decrease}} 2.53%
|6.92% {{Decrease}} 2.53%
|1 {{Decrease}} 1
|1 {{Decrease}} 1
|
|1 {{Steady}}
|}
|}
=== Consumable ===
=== Consumable ===
Line 758: Line 802:
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]]
|36.40% {{Increase}} 9.12%
|36.40% {{Increase}} 9.12%
|15 {{Increase}} 1
|16 {{Increase}} 1
|
|16 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#480D67" |
| style="background:#480D67" |
|[[Forward Party]]
|[[Forward Party]]
|23.83% {{Decrease}} 4.10%
|23.83% {{Decrease}} 4.10%
|10 {{Decrease}} 4
|11 {{Decrease}} 4
|
|10 {{Decrease}} 1
|-
|-
| style="background:#768135" |
| style="background:#768135" |
Line 771: Line 815:
|8.24% {{Decrease}} 4.96%
|8.24% {{Decrease}} 4.96%
|3 {{Decrease}} 4
|3 {{Decrease}} 4
|
|3 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C21E56" |
| style="background:#C21E56" |
Line 777: Line 821:
|8.12% {{Increase}} 2.32%
|8.12% {{Increase}} 2.32%
|3 {{Steady}}
|3 {{Steady}}
|
|3 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#964B00" |
| style="background:#964B00" |
Line 783: Line 827:
|8.04% {{Increase}} 3.80%
|8.04% {{Increase}} 3.80%
|3 {{Steady}}
|3 {{Steady}}
|
|3 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#000099" |
| style="background:#000099" |
|[[United List]]{{Efn||name=united}}
|[[United List]]{{Efn||name=united}}
|6.13% {{Decrease}} 4.37%
|6.13% {{Decrease}} 4.37%
|2{{Efn|1 seat was won by the [[Kuomintang]] and 1 was won by [[Reform]]}} {{Decrease}} 1
|0{{Efn|The [[Constitution of the Republic|Constitution]] sets a 7% threshold for 2-party coalitions}} {{Decrease}} 3
|
|0 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#C3D746" |
| style="background:#C3D746" |
Line 795: Line 839:
|5.13% {{Decrease}} 2.93%
|5.13% {{Decrease}} 2.93%
|2 {{Decrease}} 2
|2 {{Decrease}} 2
|
|2 {{Steady}}
|-
|-
| style="background:#56277E" |
| style="background:#56277E" |
Line 801: Line 845:
|4.11% {{Increase}} 1.12%
|4.11% {{Increase}} 1.12%
|0 {{Steady}}
|0 {{Steady}}
|
|1 {{Increase}}
|}
|}
== Referendum results by constituency ==
== Referendum results by constituency ==
Line 854: Line 898:
|-
|-
|'''For'''
|'''For'''
|90.00
|'''90.00'''
|-
|-
|Against
|Against

Latest revision as of 20:50, 16 October 2025

October 2025 Parliamentary election
← September 2025 October 12, 2025 November 2025 →
All 251 seats in the Republican National Assembly
  First party Second party Third party
 
Candidate Tsai Ing-wen Abu Mohammad al-Julani Peter Dutton
Party Democratic Progressive Party Forward Party Kuomintang
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 22.06%, 62 seats 30.47%, 82 seats 11.42%, 28 seats
Seats before 61 82 28
Seats won 82[b] 59[a] 28[a]
Seat change Increase 20 Decrease 23 Steady
Percentage 29.78% 19.13% 9.37%
Swing Increase 7.72 pp Decrease 11.34 pp Decrease 2.05 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Candidate Heidi Reichinnek Albert Speer Gavin Newsom
Party Orchid Party Alternative for Germany Momentum-Free Republic
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 7.11%, 17 seats 4.54%, 9 seats 8.12%, 21 seats
Seats before 17 9 23
Seats won 24 16 14
Seat change Increase 7 Increase 7 Decrease 7
Percentage 9.50% 6.74% 6.41%
Swing Increase 2.39 pp Increase 2.20 pp Decrease 1.71 pp
  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
 
Candidate Dominic Fritz Hunter Biden Nigel Farage
Party Momentum-Unity Relationist Party of the Radical Left Reform Party
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 9.33%, 23 seats 2.63%, 1 seat 4.32%, 8 seats
Seats before 21 2 8
Seats won 12 11 5
Seat change Decrease 11 Increase 10 Decrease 3
Percentage 4.36%[a] 5.39% 3.91%[a]
Swing Decrease 3.40 pp Increase 2.76 pp Decrease 0.41 pp
Cabinet before the election before election

Julani Cabinet
Forward Party-Kuomintang-Momentum-Unity

Cabinet after the election

TBD
TBD

The October 2025 general elections are scheduled to be held across the Republic on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the National Assembly will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the Galvin Amendment, a proposal by President Galvin to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the Constitution.[1]

Constituency allocation[edit | edit source]

Elections Moldova released the October constituency allocation on October 11, 2025, on the eve of the elections.[2]

Constituency allocation
Mandatory 9% Increase 1% 23 seats Increase 3
Education 36% Increase 2% 90 seats Increase 5
Labor 11% Steady 27 seats Decrease 1
Uptime 21% Steady 53 seats Steady
Downtime 8% Steady 20 seats
Consumable 15% Decrease 3% 38 seats Decrease 7

Parliamentary campaign[edit | edit source]

Main article: Julani Cabinet

The Julani Cabinet was sworn on September 16, 2025. The Pro-Constitution Bloc, also called the Constitutionalists, formed government under the Forward Party. The Kuomintang and Momentum-Unity joined the coalition. Reform was the only Pro-Constitution party which did not initially join the coalition. All Anti-Constitution Bloc parties remained in the opposition.[3]

The cabinet began by attempting to stabilize the Republic's institutions and restore trust in democracy by allowing the opposition free reign to campaign. The government attempted to reduce the powers of the Senate in minor ways. The opposition maintained that these moves were only superficial attempts to look democratic, and that FWD was still the authoritarian party it had been for the past months during the first and second Husband cabinets.

The cabinet pivoted towards the center during the early days of the cabinet. Under Labor Minister Andrew Yang, the ministry resisted attempts by the KMT to expand the work program. This enraged the KMT, which demanded the coalition lurch to the right. On September 30, after a series of scandals in the Labor Constituency, Prime Minister Julani announced that he was sacking Andrew Yang. In a deal with Reform and the KMT, inactive reform member Rudy Juliani as the new Minister. This led to mass protests in the constituency, and was the zeitgeist for the coalition's popularity beginning to decline.

On October 4th, the DPP announced its manifesto, which called for, among other things, the abolition of the Senate, curtailing the powers of the Constitutional Court, ending "Future Records", and an unconditional amnesty for all those arrested in the July Coup. Around this time, the DPP passed FWD in opinion polling for the first time, and the Anti-Constitution Bloc passed the Pro-Constitution Bloc. FWD would not recover in the polls from that point on. On October 6th, the DPP, MO-FR, OP, AfD, and RPRL announced the re-formation of the Democratic Coordination Front. The inclusion of the AfD led to controversy, with FWD strongly criticizing the opposition for the inclusion of such a radical party. The DCF was essentially a pact, with all parties agreeing not to enter a coalition with FWD, to support the DPP's constitutional reforms, to support the unconditional amnesty, and to condemn authoritarianism. Two days later, the coalition recorded a nearly 20 point lead over the Constitutionalists. On October 8th, Joe Rogan announced on behalf of the KVGW, which had been operating underground as a result of the ban on their political sector, announced that his party had made a deal with the DPP to endorse the party, and would be joining the DCF. This led to the DPP gaining further in polls as KVGW supporters who previously didn't plan to vote decided to support the DPP.

In the final days of the campaign, it was announced that "local lists" would be allowed to be formed. This means that a joint list would be able to created in only one constituency, or only a limited number of constituencies, rather than nationwide. This carries a risk, however, since votes from a joint list aren't counted towards nationwide leveling seats for a party. This was expected to help the government, with Reform and MO-U both polling below the threshold nationwide. Julani went on a campaign blitz, especially in Education and Uptime, two right wing strongholds, where he campaigned on fears of the DPP's abolition of Future Records. He also made multiple threats to arrest Tsai and other opposition leaders for working with "terrorists". The Kuomintang campaign began openly criticizing FWD for what the KMT saw as a lack of commitment to conservatism. The final poll was released on October 11, with election day the day after. The final poll saw the DPP's numbers increase further and the lead of the DCF be maintained.[4]

Opinion polling[edit | edit source]

Opinion polls were taken starting soon after the September elections. The only polling firm in the Republic is Anne Seltzer's agency, which has done polling for every election since May 2025.

On October 11, 2025, Seltzer released the final poll of the campaign on the day before the election. The poll included the approval ratings of various politicians and polling about the constitutional referendum, along with the standard parliamentary polling.[5]

Politician Approve % Disapprove %
William F. Galvin 67% 26%
Abu Mohammad al-Julani 35% 59%
Tsai Ing-wen 46% 44%
Joe Rogan 35% 45%
Peter Dutton 12% 75%

Polling by individual party list[edit | edit source]

Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election
Date O RPRL DPP MO-FR MO-U FWD KMT R AfD
10/11 9 5 35 5 2 20 13 3 6
10/8 10 3 31 7 3 19 15 3 7
10/5 8 1 28 7 3 21 13 4 7
10/2 10 2 22 9 4 23 12 5 6
9/29 10 4 22 7 7 26 13 3 6
9/26 11 2 21 7 7 28 12 3 5
9/23 8 1 20 8 10 32 12 3 4
9/20 7 2 19 8 11 31 13 4 3
9/17 6 2 18 11 10 33 12 3 4
9/14

(September election)

7.11 2.63 22.06 8.12 9.32 30.47 11.42 4.32 4.54

Polling by Constitutional alignment[edit | edit source]

Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution
Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election
Date Pro-Constitution Anti-Constitution
10/11 38 60
10/8 40 58
10/5 41 51
10/2 44 51
9/29 49 49
9/26 50 46
9/23 57 41
9/20 59 39
9/17 58 41
9/14

(September election)

55.53 44.46

Nationwide results[edit | edit source]

Joint lists ran in some constituencies. The totals of all joint lists are added together.

Party Vote share Seats won
Democratic Progressive Party 29.78% Increase 7.72% 82 Increase 20
Forward Party 19.72% Decrease 10.75% 59 Decrease 23
Kuomintang 9.37% Decrease 2.05% 28 Steady
Orchid Party 9.50% Increase 2.39% 24 Increase 7
Alternative for Germany 6.74% Increase 2.20% 16 Increase 7
Momentum-Free Republic 6.41% Decrease 1.71% 14 Decrease 7
Momentum-Unity 4.36% Decrease 4.97% 12 Decrease 11
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 5.39% Increase 2.76% 11 Increase 10
Reform Party 3.91% Decrease 0.41% 5 Decrease 3
Joint lists 4.82% N/A
Party Seats won (before leveling, not final count)
Democratic Progressive Party 85
Forward Party 61
Kuomintang 27
Orchid Party 24
Alternative for Germany 17
Momentum-Free Republic 12
Momentum-Unity 12
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 7
Reform Party 6

Referendum campaign[edit | edit source]

On September 27, 2025, President Galvin submitted a proposal to the National Assembly through an MO-FR MP, who submitted it on his behalf. The proposed constitutional amendment was one of his campaign promises during the Presidential election. The amendment would create a mechanism for ballot measures, which could be proposed to change the law even if the current government objected. The measure required a 2/3rds majority in the National Assembly to pass, as well as a 2/3rds majority in the Senate and the approval of the Constitutional Court and President. The measure quickly gained the support of the opposition, with all parties of the Anti-Constitution Bloc (besides the AfD, which votes no on all measures in parliament by party statute) supporting the proposed amendment, along with MO-U and Reform.[6] The success of the measure depended on FWD under Julani, which was hesitant to support the measure. However, due to its immense popularity and the urging of President Galvin, the party caved and agreed to support the amendment. The Kuomintang was the only party to oppose the referendum (besides the AfD), with party leader Dutton explaining his reasoning at a press conference, saying that "The people elect a government to govern, not follow every single one of their whims. If the average person made all the decisions, we’d be bankrupt in a day after buying several thousand cookies!"

After passing in the National Assembly, the Constitutional Court of the Republic declared the amendment constitutional, and the Senate also approved the amendment. The final step was for President Galvin to formally place the measure on the ballot, which he did on September 30. The election campaign on the measure didn't attract too much attention, as the proposed amendment had immense popularity.

Opinion polling[edit | edit source]

Anne Seltzer held one poll on the referendum on October 11, the day before the election.

Date For Against
10/11 76% 15%

Nationwide results[edit | edit source]

October 2025 Constitutional Referendum
Choice Vote share
For 80.00%
Against 20.00%

Parliamentary results by constituency[edit | edit source]

Mandatory[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Democratic Progressive Party 36.71% Increase 11.65% 10 Increase 4 9 Decrease 1
Forward Party 19.13% Decrease 9.07% 5 Decrease 2 5 Steady
Orchid Party 11.56% Increase 3.88% 3 Increase 2 3 Steady
United List[c] 8.35% Decrease 2.88% 2[d] Steady 2 Steady
Alternative for Germany 7.18% Increase 1.43% 1 Steady 1 Steady
Momentum-Free Republic 6.35% Decrease 1.68% 1 Steady 1 Steady
Momentum-Unity 5.93% Decrease 5.05% 1 Decrease 1 1 Steady
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 4.79% Increase 1.72% 0 Steady 1 Increase 1

Education[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Forward Party 26.07% Decrease 10.05% 25 Decrease 8 25 Steady
Democratic Progressive Party 24.65% Increase 10.78% 24 Increase 11 24 Steady
Kuomintang 14.79% Increase 1.82% 14 Increase 2 14 Steady
Orchid Party 6.92% Increase 2.92% 6 Increase 6 6 Steady
Momentum-Free Republic 6.56% Decrease 0.01% 6 Steady 6 Steady
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 6.11% Increase 3.45% 5 Increase 5 5 Steady
Alternative for Germany 5.31% Decrease 0.81% 5 Steady 5 Steady
Momentum-Unity 5.11% Decrease 7.05% 5 Decrease 6 5 Steady
Reform Party 4.48% Decrease 1.05% 0 Decrease 5 0 Steady

Labor[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Democratic Progressive Party 40.07% Increase 12.11% 13 Increase 4 12 Decrease 1
Orchid Party 18.35% Increase 1.82% 5 Steady 5 Steady
Forward List[e] 10.51% Decrease 18.09% 3[f] Decrease 6 3 Steady
Reform Party 8.18% Increase 5.13% 2 Increase 2 2 Steady
Alternative for Germany 7.48% Increase 0.76% 2 Steady 2 Steady
Momentum-Free Republic 5.97% Decrease 0.84% 1 Decrease 1 1 Steady
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 5.87% Increase 3.76% 1 Increase 1 1 Steady
Kuomintang 3.57% Decrease 1.94% 0 Decrease 1 1 Steady

Uptime[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Forward Party 24.06% Decrease 6.24% 14 Decrease 5 13 Decrease 1
Democratic Progressive Party 23.52% Increase 2.96% 14 Increase 1 13 Decrease 1
Kuomintang 17.39% Decrease 0.70% 10 Decrease 1 10 Steady
Orchid Party 7.10% Increase 2.48% 4 Increase 4 4 Steady
Reform Party 6.65% Increase 1.27% 4 Increase 1 3 Decrease 1
Alternative for Germany 6.43% Increase 1.79% 4 Increase 4 3 Decrease 1
Momentum-Unity 5.80% Decrease 1.66% 3 Decrease 1 3 Steady
Momentum-Free Republic 4.90% Decrease 0.96% 0 Decrease 3 2 Increase 2
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 4.15% Increase 3.06% 0 Steady 2 Increase 2

Downtime[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Democratic Progressive Party 34.92% Increase 1.32% 8 Steady 8 Steady
Forward List[g] 24.91% Decrease 3.91% 5[h]Steady 5 Steady
Orchid Party 15.50% Increase 0.68% 3 Steady 3 Steady
Alternative for Germany 9.99% Increase 2.21% 2 Increase 1 2 Steady
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 7.76% Increase 2.23% 1 Steady 1 Steady
Momentum-Free Republic 6.92% Decrease 2.53% 1 Decrease 1 1 Steady

Consumable[edit | edit source]

Party Vote share Seats won Seats won (post-leveling)
Democratic Progressive Party 36.40% Increase 9.12% 16 Increase 1 16 Steady
Forward Party 23.83% Decrease 4.10% 11 Decrease 4 10 Decrease 1
Momentum-Free Republic 8.24% Decrease 4.96% 3 Decrease 4 3 Steady
Orchid Party 8.12% Increase 2.32% 3 Steady 3 Steady
Alternative for Germany 8.04% Increase 3.80% 3 Steady 3 Steady
United List[c] 6.13% Decrease 4.37% 0[i] Decrease 3 0 Steady
Momentum-Unity 5.13% Decrease 2.93% 2 Decrease 2 2 Steady
Relationist Party of the Radical Left 4.11% Increase 1.12% 0 Steady 1 Increase

Referendum results by constituency[edit | edit source]

Mandatory[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For 85.84
Against 14.16

Education[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For 71.34
Against 28.66

Labor[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For 90.64
Against 9.36

Uptime[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For 78.14
Against 21.86

Downtime[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For 90.00
Against 10.00

Consumable[edit | edit source]

Choice Vote share
For 86.75
Against 13.25

Notes[edit | edit source]

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 The party ran on a joint list in some constituencies. The vote share from those constituencies is not added to the party's vote total.
  2. ↑ 3 KVGW candidates ran on the DPP list as the KVGW list was barred from running
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 Joint list of the Kuomintang and Reform
  4. ↑ Both seats were won by the Kuomintang
  5. ↑ Joint list of Forward Party and Momentum-Unity
  6. ↑ All 3 seats were won by Forward Party
  7. ↑ Joint list of Forward Party, Kuomintang, Momentum-Unity, and Reform
  8. ↑ 3 seats were won by Forward Party and 1 each was won by the Kuomintang and Momentum-Unity
  9. ↑ The Constitution sets a 7% threshold for 2-party coalitions

References[edit | edit source]

  1. ↑ This is probably true
  2. ↑ Grok Newsroom
  3. ↑ My friend told me
  4. ↑ Politics. US history. Current events.
  5. ↑ Truth Social
  6. ↑ A dream I had
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