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October 2025 general election: Difference between revisions

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→Parliamentary campaign: tables improve
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[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election by party.svg|center|thumb|600x600px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election]]
[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election by party.svg|center|thumb|600x600px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election]]
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|Date
|rowspan="2"|Date
|[[Orchid Party|O]]
|[[Orchid Party|O]]
|[[RPRL]]
|[[RPRL]]
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|[[Reform|R]]
|[[Reform|R]]
|[[AfD]]
|[[AfD]]
|-
! style="color:inherit;background:#C21E56;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#56277E;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#1B9431;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#768135;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#C3D746;" |
! style="color:inherit;background:#480D67;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#000099;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#12B6CF;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:#964B00;"|
|-
|-
|10/8
|10/8
|10
|10
|3
|3
|31
| style="background:#1B9431; color:white;" |31
|7
|7
|3
|3
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|8
|8
|1
|1
|28
| style="background:#1B9431; color:white;" |28
|7
|7
|3
|3
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|9
|9
|4
|4
|23
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |23
|12
|12
|5
|5
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|7
|7
|7
|7
|26
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |26
|13
|13
|3
|3
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|7
|7
|7
|7
|28
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |28
|12
|12
|3
|3
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|8
|8
|10
|10
|32
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |32
|12
|12
|3
|3
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|8
|8
|11
|11
|31
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |31
|13
|13
|4
|4
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|11
|11
|10
|10
|33
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |33
|12
|12
|3
|3
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|8.12
|8.12
|9.32
|9.32
|30.47
| style="background:#480D67; color:white;" |30.47
|11.42
|11.42
|4.32
|4.32
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[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election (constitutional).svg|alt=Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election]]
[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election (constitutional).svg|alt=Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election]]
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|Date
|rowspan="2"|Date
|[[Pro-Constitution]]
|[[Pro-Constitution]]
|[[Anti-Constitution]]
|[[Anti-Constitution]]
|-
! style="color:inherit;background:blue;"|
! style="color:inherit;background:red;"|
|-
|-
|10/8
|10/8
|40
|40
|58
| style="background:red; color:white;" |58
|-
|-
|10/5
|10/5
|41
|41
|51
| style="background:red; color:white;" |51
|-
|-
|10/2
|10/2
|44
|44
|51
| style="background:red; color:white;" |51
|-
|-
|9/29
|9/29
|49
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |49
|49
| style="background:red; color:white;" |49
|-
|-
|9/26
|9/26
|50
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |50
|46
|46
|-
|-
|9/23
|9/23
|57
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |57
|41
|41
|-
|-
|9/20
|9/20
|59
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |59
|39
|39
|-
|-
|9/17
|9/17
|58
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |58
|41
|41
|-
|-
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(September
(September
election)
election)
|55.53
| style="background:blue; color:white;" |55.53
|44.46
|44.46
|}
|}

Revision as of 16:07, 8 October 2025

October 2025 Parliamentary election
← September 2025 October 12, 2025 November 2025 →
All 251 seats in the Republican National Assembly
 
Candidate Abu Mohammad al-Julani Tsai Ing-wen Peter Dutton
Party Forward Party Democratic Progressive Party Kuomintang
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 30.47%, 82 seats 22.06%, 62 seats 11.42%, 28 seats
Current seats 82 62 28
 
Candidate Dominic Fritz Gavin Newsom Heidi Reichinnek
Party Momentum-Unity Momentum-Free Republic Orchid Party
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 9.33%, 23 seats 8.12%, 21 seats 7.11%, 17 seats
Current seats 21 23 17
 
Candidate Albert Speer Nigel Farage Hunter Biden
Party Alternative for Germany Reform Party Relationist Party of the Radical Left
Alliance Democratic Coordination Front Democratic Coordination Front
Last election 4.54%, 9 seats 4.32%, 8 seats 2.63%, 1 seat
Current seats 9 8 1
Incumbent Cabinet before the election

Julani Cabinet
Forward Party-Kuomintang-Momentum-Unity



The October 2025 general elections are scheduled to be held across the Republic on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the National Assembly will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the Galvin Amendment, a proposal by President Galvin to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the Constitution.

Constituency allocation

Constituency allocation
Mandatory TBD TBD
Education TBD TBD
Labor TBD TBD
Uptime TBD TBD
Downtime TBD TBD
Consumable TBD TBD

Parliamentary campaign

Opinion polling

Opinion polls were taken starting soon after the September elections. The only polling firm in the Republic is Anne Seltzer's agency, which has done polling for every election since May 2025.

Polling by individual party list

Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election
Date O RPRL DPP MO-FR MO-U FWD KMT R AfD
10/8 10 3 31 7 3 19 15 3 7
10/5 8 1 28 7 3 21 13 4 7
10/2 10 2 22 9 4 23 12 5 6
9/29 10 4 22 7 7 26 13 3 6
9/26 11 2 21 7 7 28 12 3 5
9/23 8 1 20 8 10 32 12 3 4
9/20 7 2 19 8 11 31 13 4 3
9/17 6 2 18 11 10 33 12 3 4
9/14

(September election)

7.11 2.63 22.06 8.12 9.32 30.47 11.42 4.32 4.54

Polling by Constitutional alignment

Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution
Graphical summary of opinion polling by stance towards the new Constitution in the leadup to the election
Date Pro-Constitution Anti-Constitution
10/8 40 58
10/5 41 51
10/2 44 51
9/29 49 49
9/26 50 46
9/23 57 41
9/20 59 39
9/17 58 41
9/14

(September election)

55.53 44.46
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