October 2025 general election: Difference between revisions
Richard470l (talk | contribs) m →Polling by individual party list: This is a minor edit |
Richard470l (talk | contribs) →Referendum results by constituency: Fixed everything |
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| alliance9 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]] | | alliance9 = [[Democratic Coordination Front]] | ||
| ongoing = yes | | ongoing = yes | ||
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}}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].<ref>This is probably true</ref> | }}The '''October 2025 general elections''' are scheduled to be held across [[the Republic]] on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the [[National Assembly]] will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the [[Galvin Amendment]], a proposal by [[William F. Galvin|President Galvin]] to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the [[Constitution]].<ref>This is probably true</ref> | ||
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|Mandatory | |Mandatory | ||
|9% {{Increase}} 1% | |9% {{Increase}} 1% | ||
|23 seats | |23 seats {{Increase}} 3 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|Education | |Education | ||
|36% {{Increase}} 2% | |36% {{Increase}} 2% | ||
|90 seats | |90 seats {{Increase}} 5 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|Labor | |Labor | ||
|11% {{Steady}} | |11% {{Steady}} | ||
|27 seats | |27 seats {{Decrease}} 1 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|Uptime | |Uptime | ||
|21% {{Steady}} | |21% {{Steady}} | ||
|53 seats | |53 seats {{Steady}} | ||
|- | |- | ||
|Downtime | |Downtime | ||
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|Consumable | |Consumable | ||
|15% {{Decrease}} 3% | |15% {{Decrease}} 3% | ||
|38 seats | |38 seats {{Decrease}} 7 | ||
|} | |} | ||
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The cabinet pivoted towards the center during the early days of the cabinet. Under [[Ministry of Labor|Labor Minister]] [[Andrew Yang]], the ministry resisted attempts by the KMT to expand the work program. This enraged the KMT, which demanded the coalition lurch to the right. On September 30, after a series of scandals in the Labor Constituency, Prime Minister Julani announced that he was sacking Andrew Yang. In a deal with Reform and the KMT, inactive reform member Rudy Juliani as the new Minister. This led to mass protests in the constituency, and was the zeitgeist for the coalition's popularity beginning to decline. | The cabinet pivoted towards the center during the early days of the cabinet. Under [[Ministry of Labor|Labor Minister]] [[Andrew Yang]], the ministry resisted attempts by the KMT to expand the work program. This enraged the KMT, which demanded the coalition lurch to the right. On September 30, after a series of scandals in the Labor Constituency, Prime Minister Julani announced that he was sacking Andrew Yang. In a deal with Reform and the KMT, inactive reform member Rudy Juliani as the new Minister. This led to mass protests in the constituency, and was the zeitgeist for the coalition's popularity beginning to decline. | ||
On October 4th, the [[DPP]] announced its manifesto, which called for, among other things, the abolition of the [[Senate]], curtailing the powers of the [[Constitutional Court]], ending "Future Records", and an unconditional amnesty for all those arrested in the July Coup. Around this time, the DPP passed FWD in opinion polling for the first time, and the Anti-Constitution Bloc passed the Pro-Constitution Bloc. FWD would not recover in the polls from that point on. On October 6th, the DPP, [[MO-FR]], [[Orchid Party|OP]], [[AfD]], and [[RPRL]] announced the re-formation of the [[Democratic Coordination Front]]. The inclusion of the AfD led to controversy, with FWD strongly criticizing the opposition for the inclusion of such a radical party. The DCF was essentially a pact, with all parties agreeing not to enter a coalition with FWD, to support the DPP's constitutional reforms, to support the unconditional amnesty, and to condemn authoritarianism. Two days later, the coalition recorded a nearly 20 point lead over the Constitutionalists. On October 8th, [[Joe Rogan]] announced on behalf of the [[KVGW]], which had been operating underground as a result of the ban on their political sector, announced that his party had made a deal with the DPP to endorse the party, and would be joining the DCF. This led to the DPP gaining further in polls as KVGW supporters who previously didn't plan to vote decided to support the DPP. | |||
In the final days of the campaign, it was announced that "local lists" would be allowed to be formed. This means that a joint list would be able to created in only one constituency, or only a limited number of constituencies, rather than nationwide. This was expected to help the government, with Reform and MO-U both polling below the threshold nationwide. Julani went on a campaign blitz, especially in Education and Uptime, two right wing strongholds, where he campaigned on fears of the DPP's abolition of Future Records. He also made multiple threats to arrest Tsai and other opposition leaders for working with "terrorists". The Kuomintang campaign began openly criticizing FWD for what the KMT saw as a lack of commitment to conservatism. The final poll was released on October 11, with election day the day after. The final poll saw the DPP's numbers increase further and the lead of the DCF be maintained.<ref>Politics. US history. Current events.</ref> | |||
=== Opinion polling === | === Opinion polling === | ||
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! style="color:inherit;background:red;"| | ! style="color:inherit;background:red;"| | ||
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| style="background:red; color:white;" |60 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|10/8 | |10/8 | ||
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{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
|+October 2025 Constitutional Referendum | |+October 2025 Constitutional Referendum | ||
!Choice | |||
!Vote share | |||
|- | |||
|For | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Against | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
== Parliamentary results by constituency == | |||
=== Mandatory === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]] | |||
!Vote share | |||
!Seats won | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#480D67" | | |||
|[[Forward Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#1B9431" | | |||
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#000099" | | |||
|[[Kuomintang]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C3D746" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Unity]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#768135" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C21E56" | | |||
|[[Orchid Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#964B00" | | |||
|[[Alternative for Germany]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#12B6CF" | | |||
|[[Reform Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#56277E" | | |||
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Education === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]] | |||
!Vote share | |||
!Seats won | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#480D67" | | |||
|[[Forward Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#1B9431" | | |||
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#000099" | | |||
|[[Kuomintang]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C3D746" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Unity]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#768135" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C21E56" | | |||
|[[Orchid Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#964B00" | | |||
|[[Alternative for Germany]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#12B6CF" | | |||
|[[Reform Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#56277E" | | |||
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Labor === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]] | |||
!Vote share | |||
!Seats won | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#480D67" | | |||
|[[Forward Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#1B9431" | | |||
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#000099" | | |||
|[[Kuomintang]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C3D746" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Unity]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#768135" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C21E56" | | |||
|[[Orchid Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#964B00" | | |||
|[[Alternative for Germany]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#12B6CF" | | |||
|[[Reform Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#56277E" | | |||
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Uptime === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]] | |||
!Vote share | |||
!Seats won | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#480D67" | | |||
|[[Forward Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#1B9431" | | |||
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#000099" | | |||
|[[Kuomintang]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C3D746" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Unity]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#768135" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C21E56" | | |||
|[[Orchid Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#964B00" | | |||
|[[Alternative for Germany]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#12B6CF" | | |||
|[[Reform Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#56277E" | | |||
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Downtime === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]] | |||
!Vote share | |||
!Seats won | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#480D67" | | |||
|[[Forward Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#1B9431" | | |||
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#000099" | | |||
|[[Kuomintang]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C3D746" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Unity]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#768135" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C21E56" | | |||
|[[Orchid Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#964B00" | | |||
|[[Alternative for Germany]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#12B6CF" | | |||
|[[Reform Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#56277E" | | |||
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Consumable === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
! colspan="2" |[[List of political parties|Party]] | |||
!Vote share | |||
!Seats won | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#480D67" | | |||
|[[Forward Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#1B9431" | | |||
|[[Democratic Progressive Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#000099" | | |||
|[[Kuomintang]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C3D746" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Unity]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#768135" | | |||
|[[Momentum-Free Republic]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#C21E56" | | |||
|[[Orchid Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#964B00" | | |||
|[[Alternative for Germany]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#12B6CF" | | |||
|[[Reform Party]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#56277E" | | |||
|[[Relationist Party of the Radical Left]] | |||
| | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
== Referendum results by constituency == | |||
=== Mandatory === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Choice | |||
!Vote share | |||
|- | |||
|For | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Against | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Education === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Choice | |||
!Vote share | |||
|- | |||
|For | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Against | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Labor === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Choice | |||
!Vote share | |||
|- | |||
|For | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Against | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Uptime === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Choice | |||
!Vote share | |||
|- | |||
|For | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Against | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Downtime === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Choice | |||
!Vote share | |||
|- | |||
|For | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Against | |||
| | |||
|} | |||
=== Consumable === | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
!Choice | !Choice | ||
!Vote share | !Vote share |