October 2025 general election: Difference between revisions
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[[File:Opinion polling for the October 2025 parliamentary election by party.svg|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary of opinion polling by individual party list in the leadup to the election]] | |||
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Revision as of 04:07, 12 October 2025
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All 251 seats in the Republican National Assembly | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The October 2025 general elections are scheduled to be held across the Republic on October 12, 2025. All 251 seats in the National Assembly will be up for election. In addition, a Constitutional referendum on the Galvin Amendment, a proposal by President Galvin to expand direct democracy and ballot measures, will be held. If passed, the amendment will become a part of the Constitution.[1]
Constituency allocation
Elections Moldova released the October constituency allocation on October 11, 2025, on the eve of the elections.[2]
Constituency allocation | ||
Mandatory | 9% |
23 seats |
Education | 36% |
90 seats |
Labor | 11% |
27 seats |
Uptime | 21% |
53 seats |
Downtime | 8% |
20 seats |
Consumable | 15% |
38 seats |
Parliamentary campaign
The Julani Cabinet was sworn on September 16, 2025. The Pro-Constitution Bloc, also called the Constitutionalists, formed government under the Forward Party. The Kuomintang and Momentum-Unity joined the coalition. Reform was the only Pro-Constitution party which did not initially join the coalition. All Anti-Constitution Bloc parties remained in the opposition.[3]
The cabinet began by attempting to stabilize the Republic's institutions and restore trust in democracy by allowing the opposition free reign to campaign. The government attempted to reduce the powers of the Senate in minor ways. The opposition maintained that these moves were only superficial attempts to look democratic, and that FWD was still the authoritarian party it had been for the past months during the first and second Husband cabinets.
The cabinet pivoted towards the center during the early days of the cabinet. Under Labor Minister Andrew Yang, the ministry resisted attempts by the KMT to expand the work program. This enraged the KMT, which demanded the coalition lurch to the right. On September 30, after a series of scandals in the Labor Constituency, Prime Minister Julani announced that he was sacking Andrew Yang. In a deal with Reform and the KMT, inactive reform member Rudy Juliani as the new Minister. This led to mass protests in the constituency, and was the zeitgeist for the coalition's popularity beginning to decline.
Update...
Opinion polling
Opinion polls were taken starting soon after the September elections. The only polling firm in the Republic is Anne Seltzer's agency, which has done polling for every election since May 2025.
On October 11, 2025, Seltzer released the final poll of the campaign on the day before the election. The poll included the approval ratings of various politicians and polling about the constitutional referendum, along with the standard parliamentary polling.[4]
Politician | Approve % | Disapprove % |
---|---|---|
William F. Galvin | 67% | 26% |
Abu Mohammad al-Julani | 35% | 59% |
Tsai Ing-wen | 46% | 44% |
Joe Rogan | 35% | 45% |
Peter Dutton | 12% | 75% |
Polling by individual party list
Date | O | RPRL | DPP | MO-FR | MO-U | FWD | KMT | R | AfD |
10/8 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 7 |
10/5 | 8 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
10/2 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 |
9/29 | 10 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 6 |
9/26 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 5 |
9/23 | 8 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
9/20 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 3 |
9/17 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
9/14
(September election) |
7.11 | 2.63 | 22.06 | 8.12 | 9.32 | 30.47 | 11.42 | 4.32 | 4.54 |
Polling by Constitutional alignment
Date | Pro-Constitution | Anti-Constitution |
10/8 | 40 | 58 |
10/5 | 41 | 51 |
10/2 | 44 | 51 |
9/29 | 49 | 49 |
9/26 | 50 | 46 |
9/23 | 57 | 41 |
9/20 | 59 | 39 |
9/17 | 58 | 41 |
9/14
(September election) |
55.53 | 44.46 |
Nationwide results
Referendum campaign
On September 27, 2025, President Galvin submitted a proposal to the National Assembly through an MO-FR MP, who submitted it on his behalf. The proposed constitutional amendment was one of his campaign promises during the Presidential election. The amendment would create a mechanism for ballot measures, which could be proposed to change the law even if the current government objected. The measure required a 2/3rds majority in the National Assembly to pass, as well as a 2/3rds majority in the Senate and the approval of the Constitutional Court and President. The measure quickly gained the support of the opposition, with all parties of the Anti-Constitution Bloc (besides the AfD, which votes no on all measures in parliament by party statute) supporting the proposed amendment, along with MO-U and Reform.[5] The success of the measure depended on FWD under Julani, which was hesitant to support the measure. However, due to its immense popularity and the urging of President Galvin, the party caved and agreed to support the amendment. The Kuomintang was the only party to oppose the referendum (besides the AfD), with party leader Dutton explaining his reasoning at a press conference, saying that "The people elect a government to govern, not follow every single one of their whims. If the average person made all the decisions, we’d be bankrupt in a day after buying several thousand cookies!"
After passing in the National Assembly, the Constitutional Court of the Republic declared the amendment constitutional, and the Senate also approved the amendment. The final step was for President Galvin to formally place the measure on the ballot, which he did on September 30. The election campaign on the measure didn't attract too much attention, as the proposed amendment had immense popularity.
Opinion polling
Anne Seltzer held one poll on the referendum on October 11, the day before the election.
Date | For | Against |
---|---|---|
10/11 | 76% | 15% |
Nationwide results
Choice | Vote share |
---|---|
For | |
Against |